· Analysis updated 01:48 UTC
Dolný Kubín vs Námestovo Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Dolný Kubín and 2.85 for Námestovo, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Námestovo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 64%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 64% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Námestovo win
64.0% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dolný Kubín home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Námestovo away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Námestovo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 64%, against 19% / 17% / 64% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Dolný Kubín and 2.85 for Námestovo, a combined 4.43 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
36%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.7%
- 1–37.3%
- 2–26.0%
- 2–35.7%
- 1–15.4%
Recent form
Dolný Kubín
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Námestovo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok II · 0-6 (L)
Námestovo
- 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Oravské Veselé · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Čadca · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Fiľakovo · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-08T14:30:00.000Z · H vs MFK Bytča · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 29 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 28 |
| 3 | Fomat Martin | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Čadca | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Fiľakovo | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Oravské Veselé | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Podkonice | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Novohrad Lučenec | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Baník Kalinovo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 10 | Rimavská Sobota | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 8 |
| 13 | Sokol Medzibrod | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Námestovo win, at 64.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.