Futbalový štadión MUDr. Ivana Chodáka · Analysis updated 06:10 UTC
Dolný Kubín vs Oravské Veselé Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Dolný Kubín and 1.65 for Oravské Veselé, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Oravské Veselé the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.2% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dolný Kubín home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Oravské Veselé away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oravské Veselé to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Dolný Kubín and 1.65 for Oravské Veselé, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 0–16.6%
Recent form
Dolný Kubín
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Námestovo · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-08-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok II · 0-6 (L)
Oravské Veselé
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Fomat Martin · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Baník Kalinovo · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Považská Bystrica · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Novohrad Lučenec · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Banská Byst II · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - Center table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ružomberok II | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 23 |
| 2 | Námestovo | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | Fiľakovo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Fomat Martin | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Čadca | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Podkonice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Rimavská Sobota | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 8 | Novohrad Lučenec | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Baník Kalinovo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Oravské Veselé | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 11 | Banská Byst II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Sokol Medzibrod | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 8 |
| 13 | Kysucké Nové Mesto | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 14 | Dolný Kubín | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.