Slovakia · 3. liga - Center · Central - 713:30

0 – 2

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 22:17 UTC

Dolný Kubín vs Rimavská Sobota Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Dolný Kubín and 1.92 for Rimavská Sobota, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives Rimavská Sobota the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.7% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dolný Kubín home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rimavská Sobota away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rimavská Sobota to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 37% / 21% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for Dolný Kubín and 1.92 for Rimavská Sobota, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dolný Kubín win37%
Draw21%
Rimavská Sobota win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score72%

Correct score

  • 1–18.3%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.5%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–35.1%

Recent form

Dolný Kubín

  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Rimavská Sobota · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kysucké Nové Mesto · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Námestovo · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok II · 0-6 (L)

Rimavská Sobota

  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Oravské Veselé · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Čadca · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiľakovo · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Medzibrod · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Dolný Kubín · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - Center table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ružomberok II129212629
2Námestovo119112028
3Fomat Martin12804824
4Čadca117131522
5Fiľakovo12633521
6Oravské Veselé12525-317
7Podkonice11443616
8Novohrad Lučenec12417-113
9Baník Kalinovo11416-1213
10Rimavská Sobota11407-712
11Banská Byst II11326-1011
12Kysucké Nové Mesto12228-168
13Sokol Medzibrod11227-178
14Dolný Kubín11137-146

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.