Don Bosco vs Blessing Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.92 expected goals for Don Bosco and 0.75 for Blessing, a combined total of 1.67. That distribution gives Don Bosco the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 34%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 24% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

71.8% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

0.92 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Blessing away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Don Bosco to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 34% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.92 goals for Don Bosco and 0.75 for Blessing, a combined 1.67 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 24% and both teams to score at 32%, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.

Match result (1X2)

Don Bosco win38%

Draw34%

Blessing win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

66%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals50%

Over 2.5 goals24%

Over 3.5 goals9%

Both teams to score32%

Correct score

0–018.8%
1–017.3%
0–114.2%
1–113.0%
2–07.9%

Recent form

Don Bosco

Blessing

2026-10-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tanganyika · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Malole · 0-3 (L)
2026-04-09T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Saint Eloi Lupopo · 0-2 (L)
2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs CS Manika · 1-2 (L)
2026-04-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Saint-Luc · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Ligue 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Eloi Lupopo	2	1	1	0	2	4
1	Anges Verts	2	2	0	0	3	6
2	Tanganyika	2	1	1	0	1	4
2	Étoile du Congo	1	1	0	0	1	3
3	Simba	1	1	0	0	2	3
3	JSK	2	1	0	1	0	3
4	Blessing	2	1	0	1	0	3
4	FC Mk de Kinshasa	2	0	2	0	0	2
5	Don Bosco	2	0	2	0	0	2
5	Céleste	2	0	2	0	0	2
6	Sanga Balende	2	0	2	0	0	2
6	Dauphins Noirs	2	0	2	0	0	2
7	AS New Soger	2	0	2	0	0	2
7	Etoile de Kivu	1	0	1	0	0	1
8	CS Manika	2	0	2	0	0	2
8	FC Renaissance	1	0	1	0	0	1
9	Malole	1	0	1	0	0	1
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Saint-Luc	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	New Jack	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	TP Mazembe	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Vita Club	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Lubumbashi Sport	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Maniema Union	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Butras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Novakin	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 24%.

A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.