Dornbirn vs Lochau Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.85 expected goals for Dornbirn and 1.10 for Lochau, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dornbirn win

54.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dornbirn home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Lochau away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 23% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.85 goals for Dornbirn and 1.10 for Lochau, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dornbirn win55%

Draw23%

Lochau win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score56%

Correct score

1–110.7%
2–19.9%
1–09.7%
2–09.0%
3–16.1%

Recent form

Dornbirn

2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lauterach · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fügen · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lustenau · 4-1 (W)
2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 7-0 (W)

Lochau

2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Lustenau · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Imst · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SK St. Johann · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfurt · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-05T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Swarovski Tirol II · 2-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Imst	12	9	1	2	17	28
2	Schwaz	12	9	1	2	11	28
3	Hohenems	12	9	0	3	14	27
4	Dornbirn	12	7	3	2	14	24
5	Kitzbühel	12	7	1	4	9	22
6	Röthis	12	6	3	3	3	21
7	Swarovski Tirol II	12	6	2	4	14	20
8	SK St. Johann	12	5	3	4	4	18
9	Fügen	12	5	1	6	-6	16
10	SVG Reichenau	12	4	3	5	-3	15
11	Lauterach	12	3	3	6	-5	12
12	Kufstein	12	2	5	5	-1	11
13	Lochau	12	3	2	7	-13	11
14	Lustenau	12	1	4	7	-20	7
15	Rheindorf Altach II	12	1	3	8	-16	6
16	Wolfurt	12	1	1	10	-22	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dornbirn win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.