Austria · Regionalliga - West · West - 1317:00
DornbirnLDWLL

0 – 2

Friday, 23 October 2026

Stadion Birkenwiese · Analysis updated 04:28 UTC

Dornbirn vs Rheindorf Altach II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.57 expected goals for Dornbirn and 0.89 for Rheindorf Altach II, a combined total of 3.46. That distribution gives Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dornbirn win

73.4% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.57 – 0.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dornbirn home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rheindorf Altach II away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 16% / 11% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.57 goals for Dornbirn and 0.89 for Rheindorf Altach II, a combined 3.46 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dornbirn win73%
Draw16%
Rheindorf Altach II win11%

Double chance 1X

89%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 3–08.8%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 3–17.9%

Recent form

Dornbirn

  • 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lauterach · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fügen · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lustenau · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 7-0 (W)

Rheindorf Altach II

  • 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Imst · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kufstein · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kitzbühel · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwaz · 2-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Regionalliga - West table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Imst1310121831
2Schwaz1310121331
3Hohenems1310031730
4Kitzbühel138141025
5Dornbirn137331224
6Röthis13733424
7Swarovski Tirol II136251120
8SK St. Johann13535218
9Fügen13517-716
10Lauterach13436-315
11SVG Reichenau13436-515
12Kufstein13355114
13Lochau13328-1511
14Rheindorf Altach II13238-149
15Lustenau13148-217
16Wolfurt131111-234

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dornbirn win, at 73.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.