Stadion Birkenwiese · Analysis updated 18:06 UTC
Dornbirn vs SVG Reichenau Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Dornbirn and 0.90 for SVG Reichenau, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Dornbirn the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Dornbirn win
71.8% probability
Expected goals
2.48 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dornbirn home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SVG Reichenau away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dornbirn to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 17% / 12% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.48 goals for Dornbirn and 0.90 for SVG Reichenau, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
88%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–08.6%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.8%
Recent form
Dornbirn
- 2026-09-18T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lauterach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Röthis · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fügen · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lustenau · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-21T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Lochau · 7-0 (W)
SVG Reichenau
- 2026-10-18T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hohenems · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kitzbühel · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwaz · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Röthis · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Regionalliga - West table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Imst | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 31 |
| 2 | Schwaz | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 31 |
| 3 | Hohenems | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 30 |
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Röthis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Swarovski Tirol II | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | SK St. Johann | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Fügen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 16 |
| 10 | Lauterach | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | SVG Reichenau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 12 | Kufstein | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Lochau | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 11 |
| 14 | Rheindorf Altach II | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 9 |
| 15 | Lustenau | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -21 | 7 |
| 16 | Wolfurt | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dornbirn win, at 71.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.