Bosnia · 1st League - RS · RS - 1112:30

4 – 0

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 12:35 UTC

Drina Zvornik vs Famos Vojkovići Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Drina Zvornik and 0.98 for Famos Vojkovići, a combined total of 2.55. That distribution gives Drina Zvornik the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Drina Zvornik win

51.3% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Drina Zvornik home form

    7 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Famos Vojkovići away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 2 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Drina Zvornik win51%
Draw25%
Famos Vojkovići win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score49%

Correct score

  • 1–012.3%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–09.7%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–07.8%

Recent form

Drina Zvornik

  • 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Omarska · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Laktaši · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Sutjeska Foča · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavija · 3-0 (W)

Famos Vojkovići

  • 2026-10-21T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Rudar Prijedor · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Drina Zvornik · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sutjeska Foča · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavija · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Velež Nevesinje · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 4-0 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2025-11-20T12:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 6-0 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2025-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 1-2 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2025-04-27T14:30:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 2-1 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2024-10-09T13:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 0-2 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2024-03-02T13:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 2-0 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2023-08-13T15:30:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 0-1 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2023-03-25T14:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 1-0 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)
  • 2022-08-17T15:00:00.000Z · Drina Zvornik 0-1 Famos Vojkovići (1st League - RS)

1st League - RS table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Leotar1310302633
2Laktaši1310122931
3Drina Zvornik136341421
4Potkozarje13625120
5FK Majevica Lopare12543619
6Kozara Gradiška13544119
7Rudar Prijedor13535-318
8FK Romanija Pale13607-618
9Famos Vojkovići13526-517
10Slavija13364-515
11Sutjeska Foča12327-911
12Velež Nevesinje13328-2311
13Omarska13247-1110
14Zvijezda 0913229-158

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Drina Zvornik win, at 51.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.