Drita vs Tre Fiori Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.08 expected goals for Drita and 1.00 for Tre Fiori, a combined total of 4.08. That distribution gives Drita the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws roughly 22% of the time.

Model pick

Drita to Win

78.4% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.08 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Drita win78%

Draw13%

Tre Fiori win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals58%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

3–08.2%
3–18.2%
2–08.0%
2–18.0%
4–06.3%

Why the model likes this

Drita home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Tre Fiori away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Drita to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.08 goals for Drita and 1.00 for Tre Fiori, a combined 4.08 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Drita

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Tre Fiori · 5-0 (W)
2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Tre Fiori · 4-1 (W)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Floriana · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-21T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Floriana · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Kauno Žalgiris · 2-3 (L)

Tre Fiori

2026-08-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Drita · 0-5 (L)
2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Drita · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-29T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Forli · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-14T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Larne · 1-2 (L)
2026-07-07T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Larne · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.