Druzhba vs Angust Nazran Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.24 expected goals for Druzhba and 0.54 for Angust Nazran, a combined total of 1.78. That distribution gives Druzhba the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws roughly 46% of the time.

Model pick

Druzhba to Win

53.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.24 – 0.54

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Druzhba win54%

Draw30%

Angust Nazran win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals53%

Over 2.5 goals27%

Over 3.5 goals11%

Both teams to score30%

Correct score

1–020.9%
0–016.8%
2–012.9%
1–111.3%
0–19.1%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Druzhba to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 54% / 30% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.24 goals for Druzhba and 0.54 for Angust Nazran, a combined 1.78 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 30%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 21%.
Model confidence
Druzhba to Win is the headline pick at 54% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Druzhba

Angust Nazran

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shahter Taganrog	19	13	3	3	19	42
2	Sevastopol	19	13	3	3	18	42
3	Rostov II	18	12	3	3	23	39
4	Kyzyltash	19	9	3	7	8	30
5	Nart Cherkessk	18	8	4	6	9	28
6	Rubin Yalta	19	7	7	5	4	28
7	Spartak Nalchik	17	7	6	4	9	27
8	Pobeda	17	8	3	6	11	27
9	Druzhba	18	7	5	6	4	26
10	Astrakhan	18	6	3	9	-3	21
11	Lugansk	18	5	4	9	-9	19
12	Izberbash	19	6	0	13	-34	18
13	PSK Dinskaya	11	5	2	4	-1	17
14	Angust Nazran	18	4	4	10	-10	16
15	Dynamo Makhachkala II	19	3	4	12	-16	13
16	FK Chayka 2	19	2	2	15	-32	8

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.