· Analysis updated 15:19 UTC
Družstevník Bešeňov vs Nové Zámky Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.53 expected goals for Družstevník Bešeňov and 1.60 for Nové Zámky, a combined total of 3.13. That distribution gives Nové Zámky the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.4% probability
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.60
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Družstevník Bešeňov home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nové Zámky away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nové Zámky to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 24% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.53 goals for Družstevník Bešeňov and 1.60 for Nové Zámky, a combined 3.13 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
63%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.0%
- 1–06.7%
Recent form
Družstevník Bešeňov
- 2026-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Zámky · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-07-27T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nitra · 0-5 (L)
- 2024-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Nové Zámky · 0-4 (L)
- 2024-07-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Svaty Peter · 4-1 (W)
- 2023-09-27T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Malženice · 1-6 (L)
Nové Zámky
- 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Častkovce · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs MŠK Senec · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Svätý Jur · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Gabčíkovo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Beluša · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · Družstevník Bešeňov 0-2 Nové Zámky (Cup)
- 2024-07-28T15:00:00.000Z · Družstevník Bešeňov 0-4 Nové Zámky (Cup)
- 2021-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · Družstevník Bešeňov 1-1 Nové Zámky (Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.