· Analysis updated 09:45 UTC
DSC vs Ouakam Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.45 expected goals for DSC and 0.85 for Ouakam, a combined total of 1.30. That distribution gives Ouakam the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 39%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 14% for over 2.5 goals and 21% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 27%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
81.6% probability
Expected goals
0.45 – 0.85
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
DSC home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ouakam to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 18% / 39% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.45 goals for DSC and 0.85 for Ouakam, a combined 1.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
61%
Double chance X2
82%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–027.3%
- 0–123.2%
- 1–012.3%
- 1–110.4%
- 0–29.8%
Recent form
DSC
- 2026-10-24T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Gorée · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Guédiawaye · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Casa Sport · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Teungueth · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Jaraaf · 0-3 (L)
Ouakam
- 2026-10-25T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Jaraaf · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonacos · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Génération Foot · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-05-17T17:00:00.000Z · A vs La Linguère · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-05-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Gorée · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-29T16:30:00.000Z · DSC 1-1 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2025-12-07T16:30:00.000Z · DSC 1-1 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2025-04-27T17:00:00.000Z · DSC 1-0 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2024-11-30T16:30:00.000Z · DSC 2-0 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2024-04-28T17:00:00.000Z · DSC 1-0 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2023-12-17T16:30:00.000Z · DSC 1-1 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2018-05-27T17:00:00.000Z · DSC 4-0 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
- 2018-02-19T18:00:00.000Z · DSC 0-0 Ouakam (Ligue 1)
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Génération Foot | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Jaraaf | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Gorée | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Wally Daan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | HLM | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Guédiawaye | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Diambars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | AJEL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Stade de Mbour | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | DSC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Essamaye | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Casa Sport | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Pikine | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Teungueth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Ouakam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | La Linguère | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 81.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 21% and over 2.5 goals at 14%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.