Al Maktoum Stadium · Referee M. Rashid · Analysis updated 16:35 UTC
Dubai United vs Hatta SC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Dubai United and 1.49 for Hatta SC, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Dubai United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dubai United win
49.6% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.49
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dubai United home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Hatta SC away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dubai United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Dubai United and 1.49 for Hatta SC, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Dubai United
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · H vs Hatta SC · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-10T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-05T13:45:00.000Z · A vs Sharjah FC · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-08-28T13:55:00.000Z · H vs Al-Ittihad Kalba · 4-1 (W)
Hatta SC
- 2026-10-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubai United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:05:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-08T15:45:00.000Z · A vs Al Nasr · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-01T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Dubai United · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dubai United win, at 49.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.