· Analysis updated 11:31 UTC
Dukla Banská Bystrica W vs Slovan Bratislava W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica W and 3.88 for Slovan Bratislava W, a combined total of 5.10. That distribution gives Slovan Bratislava W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–3 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Slovan Bratislava W win
83.2% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 3.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dukla Banská Bystrica W home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Bratislava W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Slovan Bratislava W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 7% / 10% / 83% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica W and 3.88 for Slovan Bratislava W, a combined 5.10 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
17%
Double chance 12
91%
Double chance X2
93%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–37.2%
- 1–47.0%
- 0–35.9%
- 0–45.7%
- 1–25.6%
Recent form
Dukla Banská Bystrica W
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ružomberok W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Prešov W · 0-2 (L)
Slovan Bratislava W
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava W · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Trenčín W · 8-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Komárno W · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok W · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petržalka W · 6-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
I Liga - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Myjava W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovan Bratislava W | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 27 |
| 3 | Trenčín W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Z. Moravce-Vrable W | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 5 | Komárno W | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 |
| 6 | Tatran Prešov W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Spartak Trnava W | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -14 | 13 |
| 8 | Ružomberok W | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 9 |
| 9 | Dukla Banská Bystrica W | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -28 | 4 |
| 10 | Petržalka W | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -36 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Slovan Bratislava W win, at 83.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–3.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 83% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.