Dukla Praha II vs Admira Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Dukla Praha II and 1.28 for Admira Praha, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives Dukla Praha II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dukla Praha II win

53.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dukla Praha II home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Admira Praha away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukla Praha II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 22% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.95 goals for Dukla Praha II and 1.28 for Admira Praha, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dukla Praha II win53%

Draw22%

Admira Praha win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

47%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–19.9%
2–19.6%
1–07.8%
2–07.6%
1–26.3%

Recent form

Dukla Praha II

2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 2-2 (D)

Admira Praha

2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Benešov · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Jiskra Domažlice · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha II · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	České Budějovice	12	8	2	2	21	26
2	Králův Dvůr	11	8	2	1	13	26
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	11	7	2	2	11	23
4	Motorlet Praha	12	7	2	3	9	23
5	Jiskra Domažlice	12	6	3	3	2	21
6	Loko Vltavín	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Sparta Praha II	9	4	4	1	11	16
8	Slavia III	12	4	2	6	1	14
9	Admira Praha	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Příbram II	11	3	4	4	-1	13
11	Bohemians 1905 II	12	3	4	5	-5	13
12	Dukla Praha II	12	2	5	5	-3	11
13	Písek	11	2	5	4	-7	11
14	Benešov	11	2	4	5	-8	10
15	Aritma Praha	12	1	6	5	-17	9
16	Povltava FA	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dukla Praha II win, at 53.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.