Stadion FK Zbuzany · Analysis updated 10:42 UTC
Dukla Praha II vs České Budějovice II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Dukla Praha II and 1.98 for České Budějovice II, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives České Budějovice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
České Budějovice II win
47.3% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.98
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dukla Praha II home form
8 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
České Budějovice II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.8%
Recent form
Dukla Praha II
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Aritma Praha · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Písek · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-11T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha II · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-04T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
České Budějovice II
- 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-05-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 6-3 (W)
- 2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 6-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-26T08:15:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 2-2 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2025-09-27T08:30:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 3-1 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2025-05-07T15:00:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 0-2 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2024-11-09T09:30:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 1-2 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2024-03-10T09:15:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 0-1 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2023-08-12T08:30:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 3-2 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2023-03-25T09:30:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 0-0 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
- 2022-08-28T08:15:00.000Z · Dukla Praha II 2-1 České Budějovice II (3. liga - CFL A)
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Písek | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is České Budějovice II win, at 47.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.