Stadion FK Zbuzany · Analysis updated 05:19 UTC
Dukla Praha II vs Jiskra Domažlice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Dukla Praha II and 2.55 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Jiskra Domažlice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Jiskra Domažlice win
61.3% probability
Expected goals
1.45 – 2.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dukla Praha II home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jiskra Domažlice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Jiskra Domažlice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 21% / 18% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Dukla Praha II and 2.55 for Jiskra Domažlice, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.6%
- 1–37.3%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–26.3%
- 0–26.0%
Recent form
Dukla Praha II
- 2026-09-27T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Příbram II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-13T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Admira Praha · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Motorlet Praha · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-04T15:00:00.000Z · A vs České Budějovice · 2-2 (D)
Jiskra Domažlice
- 2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Viktoria Plzeň II · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 II · 2-7 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs České Budějovice · 6-3 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. liga - CFL A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | České Budějovice | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 26 |
| 2 | Králův Dvůr | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 26 |
| 3 | Viktoria Plzeň II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 23 |
| 4 | Motorlet Praha | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Jiskra Domažlice | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Loko Vltavín | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Sparta Praha II | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia III | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Admira Praha | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | Písek | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -6 | 14 |
| 11 | Příbram II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Dukla Praha II | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Benešov | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Aritma Praha | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Povltava FA | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -21 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jiskra Domažlice win, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.