· Analysis updated 14:46 UTC
Dukla Praha U19 vs Baník Ostrava U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.11 expected goals for Dukla Praha U19 and 1.65 for Baník Ostrava U19, a combined total of 3.76. That distribution gives Dukla Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Dukla Praha U19 win
48.5% probability
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.65
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dukla Praha U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Baník Ostrava U19 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dukla Praha U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 21% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.11 goals for Dukla Praha U19 and 1.65 for Baník Ostrava U19, a combined 3.76 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.5%
- 1–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–16.0%
Recent form
Dukla Praha U19
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-2 (D)
Baník Ostrava U19
- 2026-09-19T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-08-22T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovácko U19 · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dukla Praha U19 win, at 48.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.