Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 1109:00

3 – 2

Saturday, 17 October 2026

· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC

Dukla Praha U19 vs České Budějovice U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.41 expected goals for Dukla Praha U19 and 1.93 for České Budějovice U19, a combined total of 4.34. That distribution gives Dukla Praha U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dukla Praha U19 win

49.0% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.93

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dukla Praha U19 home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dukla Praha U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 19% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.41 goals for Dukla Praha U19 and 1.93 for České Budějovice U19, a combined 4.34 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 78%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

Dukla Praha U19 win49%
Draw19%
České Budějovice U19 win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score78%

Correct score

  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 1–25.9%
  • 3–15.9%

Recent form

Dukla Praha U19

  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Praha U19 · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 2-2 (D)

České Budějovice U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Opava U19129121828
    2Hradec Králové U19137421825
    3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
    4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
    5Dukla Praha U1912633721
    6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
    7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
    8Sparta Praha U1911515416
    9Teplice U1911515-616
    10České Budějovice U1911425714
    11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
    12Slovácko U1912318-1210
    13Pardubice U1912228-158
    14Zlín U1911227-178
    15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
    16Karviná U1912219-247

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dukla Praha U19 win, at 49.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.

    A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.