Stefan Dobay Stadium · Analysis updated 16:09 UTC
Dumbrăviţa vs Bihor Oradea Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Dumbrăviţa and 1.80 for Bihor Oradea, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Bihor Oradea the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Bihor Oradea win
54.9% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dumbrăviţa home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bihor Oradea away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bihor Oradea to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 22% / 23% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Dumbrăviţa and 1.80 for Bihor Oradea, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.9%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.4%
- 1–06.1%
Recent form
Dumbrăviţa
- 2026-10-10T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Cetatea Suceava · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-22T14:30:00.000Z · H vs CSM Reşiţa · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slatina · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T08:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Bacau · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 0-1 (L)
Bihor Oradea
- 2026-09-20T08:30:00.000Z · A vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T10:30:00.000Z · H vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Popești-Leordeni · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-29T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Ştefăneşti · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 |
| 6 | CS Afumati | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Metalul Buzău | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Cetatea Suceava | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 10 | Concordia | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 |
| 12 | Bihor Oradea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Metaloglobus | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Unirea Slobozia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 19 | Ştefăneşti | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 21 | CS Dinamo București | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -18 | 4 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Bihor Oradea win, at 54.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.