· Analysis updated 11:36 UTC
Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.78 expected goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.58 for FK Košice, a combined total of 4.35. That distribution gives Dunajska Streda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Dunajska Streda win
62.7% probability
Expected goals
2.78 – 1.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dunajska Streda home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FK Košice away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.8%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.2%
- 3–25.7%
- 1–15.6%
Recent form
Dunajska Streda
- 2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Žilina · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Zemplín Michalovce · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 2-2 (D)
FK Košice
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Komárno · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ružomberok · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Trnava · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Banská Bystrica · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-02T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Harichovce · 7-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-04T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 0-4 FK Košice (Cup)
- 2025-11-01T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 3-1 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2025-10-01T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-0 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2025-04-20T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 3-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2025-03-29T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2024-10-26T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 1-3 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2024-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2023-11-03T16:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 3-0 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2023-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 5-2 FK Košice (Super Liga)
- 2023-01-21T10:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-1 FK Košice (Friendlies Clubs)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 29 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Slovan Bratislava | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | Žilina | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Skalica | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | Ružomberok | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dunajska Streda win, at 62.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.