· Referee L. Dzivjak · Analysis updated 15:36 UTC
Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.70 for Slovan Bratislava, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Dunajska Streda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dunajska Streda win
45.3% probability
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dunajska Streda home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Slovan Bratislava away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–27.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 3–15.6%
Recent form
Dunajska Streda
- 2026-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Puskas Academy · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Trnava · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-15T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Veľké Ludince · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Trencin · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Bratislava · 2-0 (W)
Slovan Bratislava
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Skalica · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Komárno · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Nitra · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Žilina · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-09-09T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Paris Saint Germain · 1-6 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-0 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2026-05-02T18:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 0-1 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2026-04-04T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 0-3 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2026-02-07T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 0-3 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2025-09-20T18:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-3 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2025-04-26T18:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-1 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2025-04-12T16:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 2-2 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2024-12-14T17:00:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 1-2 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2024-09-14T18:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 1-2 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
- 2024-04-28T15:30:00.000Z · Dunajska Streda 5-3 Slovan Bratislava (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 23 |
| 2 | Spartak Trnava | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 21 |
| 3 | Žilina | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Podbrezová | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Skalica | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 10 | Komárno | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 12 | AS Trencin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dunajska Streda win, at 45.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.