· Analysis updated 16:27 UTC
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs FCSB II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.23 expected goals for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu and 1.45 for FCSB II, a combined total of 4.68. That distribution gives Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu the largest share of the 1X2 market at 72%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 72% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win
72.1% probability
Expected goals
3.23 – 1.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FCSB II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 72%, against 72% / 14% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.23 goals for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu and 1.45 for FCSB II, a combined 4.68 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
28%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.6%
- 2–17.0%
- 4–16.1%
- 3–25.5%
- 3–05.2%
Recent form
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Axi Adunații-Copăceni · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FCSB II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Omega Sport · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Spartac · 1-0 (W)
FCSB II
- 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Mogosoaia · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Omega Sport · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Progresul Spartac · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alexandria · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 5 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omega Sport | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | LPS HD Clinceni | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Alexandria | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| 6 | Dinamo Bucureşti II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Cetatea | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | FCSB II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Voluntari II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Progresul Spartac | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win, at 72.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.
A 72% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.