Northern-Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 314:00
DundelaDDD

22

Saturday, 15 August 2026

· Analysis updated 00:43 UTC

Dundela vs Annagh United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.45 expected goals for Dundela and 1.89 for Annagh United, a combined total of 4.34. That distribution gives Dundela the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws roughly 49% of the time.

Model pick

Dundela to Win

50.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.45 – 1.89

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dundela win51%
Draw19%
Annagh United win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 3–25.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Dundela home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dundela to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 19% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.45 goals for Dundela and 1.89 for Annagh United, a combined 4.34 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 81% and both teams to score at 77%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Dundela

  • 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Annagh United · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Ards · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Moyola Park · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crusaders FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bangor · 1-1 (D)

Annagh United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Championship table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ards321047
    2Newington Youth321047
    3Glenavon FC320146
    4H&W Welders320136
    5Newry City AFC3201-16
    6Loughgall312025
    7Moyola Park311104
    8Queen's University311104
    9Institute311104
    10Annagh United3111-14
    11Dundela303003
    12Strabane Athletic3102-23
    13Ballinamallard United3102-23
    14Warrenpoint Town3102-33
    15Armagh City3012-31
    16Rathfriland3003-50

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.