18 Temmuz Stadyumu · Analysis updated 07:05 UTC
Düzcespor vs Artvin Hopaspor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Düzcespor and 1.37 for Artvin Hopaspor, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Düzcespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.7% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.37
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Düzcespor home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Artvin Hopaspor away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Düzcespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Düzcespor and 1.37 for Artvin Hopaspor, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
67%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.2%
Recent form
Düzcespor
- 2026-04-18T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-04-12T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Yeni Orduspor · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-05T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Giresunspor · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-03-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Pazarspor · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-03-25T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 2-1 (W)
Artvin Hopaspor
- 2026-04-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs 1926 Bulancak · 7-3 (W)
- 2026-04-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Çayelispor · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-04-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-03-29T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 |
| 2 | Niğde Belediyesispor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Karaköprü Belediyespor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Kırşehir Belediyespor | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 |
| 7 | Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Ağrı 1970 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Adana Adaletgucu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Silifke Belediyespor | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Osmaniyespor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 3 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -15 | 0 |
| 18 | Adanaspor | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.