· Analysis updated 11:03 UTC
Düzcespor vs Beykoz Anadolu Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.21 expected goals for Düzcespor and 0.95 for Beykoz Anadolu, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Düzcespor the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
71.3% probability
Expected goals
1.21 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Düzcespor home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Beykoz Anadolu away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Düzcespor to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 29% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.21 goals for Düzcespor and 0.95 for Beykoz Anadolu, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.0%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–011.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–08.5%
Recent form
Düzcespor
- 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Pazarspor · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-07T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Zonguldak Kömürspor · 0-0 (D)
Beykoz Anadolu
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kartal Bulvarspor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Fatsa Belediyespor · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Karabük İdman Yurdu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-03T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Gölcükspor · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.
3. Lig - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fatsa Belediyespor | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Pazarspor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Galata | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Karabük İdman Yurdu | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Kartal Bulvarspor | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Orduspor 1967 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Amasyaspor 1968 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Düzcespor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Beykoz Anadolu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Zonguldak Kömürspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | İnkılapspor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Gölcükspor | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Silivrispor | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Beykoz İshaklıspor | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 71.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.