DVS 33 Ermelo vs Hollandia Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for DVS 33 Ermelo and 1.50 for Hollandia, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives DVS 33 Ermelo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws roughly 62% of the time.

Model pick

DVS 33 Ermelo or Draw

62.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

DVS 33 Ermelo win38%

Draw24%

Hollandia win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–28.4%
2–18.4%
0–17.5%
1–07.5%

Why the model likes this

DVS 33 Ermelo home form
11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates DVS 33 Ermelo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 24% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for DVS 33 Ermelo and 1.50 for Hollandia, a combined 3.00 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 58% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

DVS 33 Ermelo

2026-08-15T12:30:00.000Z · A vs SC Genemuiden · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · A vs GVVV Veenendaal · 0-3 (L)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Rijnvogels · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rijnvogels · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Huizen · 1-0 (W)

Hollandia

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.