· Analysis updated 01:38 UTC
Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Dynamo Dresden U19 and 1.80 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined total of 4.27. That distribution gives Dynamo Dresden U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Dynamo Dresden U19 win
52.9% probability
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.80
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dynamo Dresden U19 home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Greuther Fürth U19 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dynamo Dresden U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 53% / 19% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.47 goals for Dynamo Dresden U19 and 1.80 for Greuther Fürth U19, a combined 4.27 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
47%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.7%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–16.2%
- 3–25.7%
Recent form
Dynamo Dresden U19
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Nürnberg U19 · 3-1 (W)
Greuther Fürth U19
- 2026-10-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 6-1 (W)
- 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Dynamo Dresden U19 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Nürnberg U19 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-23T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Eintracht Frankf U19 · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dynamo Dresden U19 win, at 52.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.