Germany · DFB Junioren Pokal · Round of 6410:00

2 – 6

Sunday, 2 August 2026

· Analysis updated 12:05 UTC

Dynamo Dresden U19 vs Hannover 96 U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Dynamo Dresden U19 and 2.18 for Hannover 96 U19, a combined total of 4.22. That distribution gives Hannover 96 U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.6% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.04 – 2.18

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamo Dresden U19 home form

    3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Hannover 96 U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Hannover 96 U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 38% / 20% / 43% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.04 goals for Dynamo Dresden U19 and 2.18 for Hannover 96 U19, a combined 4.22 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Dresden U19 win38%
Draw20%
Hannover 96 U19 win43%

Double chance 1X

58%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 2–35.3%

Recent form

Dynamo Dresden U19

  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Greuther Fürth U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs RB Leipzig U19 · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Nürnberg U19 · 3-1 (W)

Hannover 96 U19

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Hamburger SV U19 · 6-5 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Meppen U19 · 4-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Berliner U19 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wolfsburg U19 · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.