Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 1009:00

1 – 0

Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Dynamo Training Center · Analysis updated 06:13 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv U19 vs Karpaty Lviv U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19 and 1.65 for Karpaty Lviv U19, a combined total of 3.45. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

64.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 1.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamo Kyiv U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamo Kyiv U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 22% / 36% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.80 goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19 and 1.65 for Karpaty Lviv U19, a combined 3.45 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win42%
Draw22%
Karpaty Lviv U19 win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–05.7%

Recent form

Dynamo Kyiv U19

  • 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 2-1 (W)

Karpaty Lviv U19

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    U19 League table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

    A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.