Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 3009:00

7 – 2

Friday, 22 May 2026

· Analysis updated 17:01 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv U19 vs Kudrivka U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.83 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19 and 0.55 for Kudrivka U19, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win

84.0% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.83 – 0.55

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamo Kyiv U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kudrivka U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamo Kyiv U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 5% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.83 goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19 and 0.55 for Kudrivka U19, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win84%
Draw11%
Kudrivka U19 win5%

Double chance 1X

95%

Double chance 12

89%

Double chance X2

16%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 2–013.7%
  • 3–012.9%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 4–09.1%
  • 2–17.5%

Recent form

Dynamo Kyiv U19

  • 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 2-1 (W)

Kudrivka U19

  • 2026-05-22T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 2-7 (L)
  • 2026-05-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-05-12T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Rukh Vynnyky U19 · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-07T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-05-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Obolon' Kyiv U19 · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-05-22T09:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 7-2 Kudrivka U19 (U19 League)
  • 2025-12-05T11:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 6-0 Kudrivka U19 (U19 League)

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dynamo Kyiv U19 win, at 84.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.