Ukraine · U19 League · Matchweek 514:00

4 – 1

Wednesday, 2 September 2026

· Analysis updated 06:23 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv U19 vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv U19 and 1.03 for LNZ Cherkasy U19, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win

65.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 1.03

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamo Kyiv U19 home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • LNZ Cherkasy U19 away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 2 of the last 7 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Kyiv U19 win65%
Draw19%
LNZ Cherkasy U19 win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 3–17.4%

Recent form

Dynamo Kyiv U19

  • 2026-09-23T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Lviv U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Zhytomyr U19 · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy U19 · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19 · 2-1 (W)

LNZ Cherkasy U19

  • 2026-09-23T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty Lviv U19 · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka U19 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-10T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Metalist 1925 U19 · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamo Kyiv U19 · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-26T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Zhytomyr U19 · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-02T14:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 4-1 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2026-05-08T12:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 2-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2025-11-09T11:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 7-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2025-03-05T11:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 4-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2024-08-31T10:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 10-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2024-04-07T10:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 6-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)
  • 2023-09-23T00:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv U19 4-1 LNZ Cherkasy U19 (U19 League)

U19 League table

Full league page →

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dynamo Kyiv U19 win, at 65.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.