Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 0.45 for Obolon'-Brovar, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Dynamo Kyiv win

67.2% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 0.45

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Dynamo Kyiv home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Obolon'-Brovar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Kyiv win67%

Draw23%

Obolon'-Brovar win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

33%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%

Over 2.5 goals35%

Over 3.5 goals16%

Both teams to score29%

Correct score

1–020.2%
2–016.7%
0–012.2%
3–09.2%
1–19.1%

Recent form

Dynamo Kyiv

2026-10-11T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Karpaty · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Zorya Luhansk · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Nyva Vinnytsya · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-06T10:00:00.000Z · H vs LNZ Cherkasy · 0-0 (D)

Obolon'-Brovar

2026-09-18T10:15:00.000Z · A vs Chornomorets · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs LNZ Cherkasy · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Kharkiv · 0-5 (L)
2026-08-28T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Kolos Kovalivka · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Karpaty · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-03-13T16:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 2-1 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2025-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 2-2 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2025-04-18T15:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 3-0 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2024-10-19T12:30:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 5-1 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2023-12-11T13:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2023-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 0-1 Obolon'-Brovar (Cup)
2023-08-04T14:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 4-2 Obolon'-Brovar (Premier League)
2015-10-27T16:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 5-0 Obolon'-Brovar (Cup)
2015-09-23T16:30:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar (Cup)

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	8	7	0	1	14	21
2	Polessya	8	6	1	1	10	19
3	Dynamo Kyiv	7	5	1	1	5	16
4	FC Kharkiv	7	5	0	2	9	15
5	Karpaty	8	4	2	2	9	14
6	Zorya Luhansk	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	LNZ Cherkasy	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Veres Rivne	9	2	3	4	-5	9
9	Kolos Kovalivka	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Bukovyna	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Livyi Bereh	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Obolon'-Brovar	8	1	4	3	-8	7
14	Chornomorets	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	Kryvbas KR	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Kudrivka	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dynamo Kyiv win, at 67.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 29% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.