World · UEFA Europa League · 1st Qualifying Round17:00

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Thursday, 9 July 2026

Arena Lublin · Referee Joonas Jaanovits, Estonia · Analysis updated 05:36 UTC

Dynamo Kyiv vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.18 for Universitatea Cluj, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Dynamo Kyiv or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamo Kyiv win44%
Draw26%
Universitatea Cluj win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Dynamo Kyiv home form

    7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Universitatea Cluj away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamo Kyiv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.18 for Universitatea Cluj, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Dynamo Kyiv

  • 2026-08-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Qarabag · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Qarabag · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 2-3 (L)

Universitatea Cluj

  • 2026-08-03T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-07-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-07-16T17:30:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (UEFA Europa League)
  • 2026-07-09T17:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (UEFA Europa League)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.