Arena Lublin · Referee Joonas Jaanovits, Estonia · Analysis updated 05:36 UTC
Dynamo Kyiv vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.18 for Universitatea Cluj, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Dynamo Kyiv the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Dynamo Kyiv or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Dynamo Kyiv home form
7 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Universitatea Cluj away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dynamo Kyiv to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Dynamo Kyiv and 1.18 for Universitatea Cluj, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Dynamo Kyiv
- 2026-08-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Qarabag · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Veres Rivne · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Qarabag · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-30T17:45:00.000Z · A vs PAOK · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs PAOK · 2-3 (L)
Universitatea Cluj
- 2026-08-03T15:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Brann · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brann · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-16T17:30:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (UEFA Europa League)
- 2026-07-09T17:00:00.000Z · Dynamo Kyiv 0-0 Universitatea Cluj (UEFA Europa League)
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.