Anzhi Arena · Analysis updated 05:02 UTC
Dynamo Makhachkala U19 vs Almaz Antey U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.84 expected goals for Dynamo Makhachkala U19 and 2.13 for Almaz Antey U19, a combined total of 3.97. That distribution gives Almaz Antey U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Almaz Antey U19 win
45.2% probability
Expected goals
1.84 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dynamo Makhachkala U19 home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Almaz Antey U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 34% / 21% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.84 goals for Dynamo Makhachkala U19 and 2.13 for Almaz Antey U19, a combined 3.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 74%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–16.8%
- 1–35.6%
Recent form
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
- 2026-10-23T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Moskva U19 · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-16T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Akademiya Konoplev U20 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Rubin Kazan U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Ural U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zenit U19 · 1-2 (L)
Almaz Antey U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Youth Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moskva U19 | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 65 |
| 2 | Zenit U19 | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 60 |
| 3 | Krasnodar U19 | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 57 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow U19 | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 54 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 50 |
| 6 | Akademiya Konoplev U20 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Almaz Antey U19 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | -5 | 44 |
| 8 | Spartak Moskva U19 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 | Rostov U19 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moskva U19 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -8 | 31 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | -24 | 28 |
| 12 | Chertanovo U20 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | -25 | 26 |
| 13 | Ural U20 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -26 | 25 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod U19 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | -40 | 22 |
| 15 | Rubin Kazan U20 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -30 | 21 |
| 16 | Fakel U19 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -27 | 19 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Almaz Antey U19 win, at 45.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.