Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2713:00
DynamosDLDWD

0 – 1

Sunday, 23 August 2026

Chicken InnDDWDW

Rufaro Stadium · Analysis updated 00:59 UTC

Dynamos vs Chicken Inn Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Dynamos and 0.58 for Chicken Inn, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dynamos win

50.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.17 – 0.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Dynamos home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Chicken Inn away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 31% / 18% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.17 goals for Dynamos and 0.58 for Chicken Inn, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamos win50%
Draw31%
Chicken Inn win18%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals52%
Over 2.5 goals26%
Over 3.5 goals10%
Both teams to score30%

Correct score

  • 1–020.3%
  • 0–017.4%
  • 2–011.9%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–110.1%

Recent form

Dynamos

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Herentals · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs CAPS United · 1-1 (D)

Chicken Inn

  • 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kariba · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Platinum · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Simba Bhora · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs MWOS · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamos · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier Soccer League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Hardrock3221653669
2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
3Ngezi Platinum32141441356
4Dynamos32121641752
5CAPS United31131261151
6Herentals3214612-148
7MWOS3211129945
8Highlanders329176444
9Platinum329167043
10Chicken Inn31111010-143
11Simba Bhora3291211-239
12Hunters3271510-1036
13Bulawayo Chiefs3281014-1134
14Kariba3261511-933
15Agama328717-2031
16Triangle United326917-1527
17TelOne3241018-2422
18Manica Diamonds324919-3121

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Dynamos win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.