Rufaro Stadium · Analysis updated 00:59 UTC
Dynamos vs Chicken Inn Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.17 expected goals for Dynamos and 0.58 for Chicken Inn, a combined total of 1.75. That distribution gives Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 26% for over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 20%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Dynamos win
50.2% probability
Expected goals
1.17 – 0.58
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Dynamos home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chicken Inn away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 31% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.17 goals for Dynamos and 0.58 for Chicken Inn, a combined 1.75 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–020.3%
- 0–017.4%
- 2–011.9%
- 1–111.8%
- 0–110.1%
Recent form
Dynamos
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ngezi Platinum · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Hardrock · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Triangle United · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Herentals · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs CAPS United · 1-1 (D)
Chicken Inn
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kariba · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Platinum · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Simba Bhora · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T13:00:00.000Z · H vs MWOS · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamos · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hardrock | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 69 |
| 2 | Scotland Mabvuku | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 61 |
| 3 | Ngezi Platinum | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 56 |
| 4 | Dynamos | 32 | 12 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | CAPS United | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 51 |
| 6 | Herentals | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | -1 | 48 |
| 7 | MWOS | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | Highlanders | 32 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 44 |
| 9 | Platinum | 32 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Chicken Inn | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -1 | 43 |
| 11 | Simba Bhora | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Hunters | 32 | 7 | 15 | 10 | -10 | 36 |
| 13 | Bulawayo Chiefs | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Kariba | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -9 | 33 |
| 15 | Agama | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Triangle United | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | TelOne | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -24 | 22 |
| 18 | Manica Diamonds | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -31 | 21 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Dynamos win, at 50.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 30% and over 2.5 goals at 26%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.