Zimbabwe · Premier Soccer League · Matchweek 2913:00
DynamosDLDWD

1 – 0

Sunday, 20 September 2026

HerentalsLLLLW

Rufaro Stadium · Analysis updated 06:03 UTC

Dynamos vs Herentals Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Dynamos and 0.76 for Herentals, a combined total of 2.26. That distribution gives Dynamos the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Dynamos win

55.1% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.76

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Herentals away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Dynamos to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 26% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Dynamos and 0.76 for Herentals, a combined 2.26 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 39% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

Dynamos win55%
Draw26%
Herentals win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 1–015.7%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–011.8%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 2–18.9%

Recent form

Dynamos

    Herentals

    • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Dynamos · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-09-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bulawayo Chiefs · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-23T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Highlanders · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs TelOne · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hunters · 1-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Premier Soccer League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Hardrock3120653566
    2Scotland Mabvuku30171033461
    3Ngezi Platinum32141441356
    4Dynamos32121641752
    5CAPS United31131261151
    6Herentals3214612-148
    7MWOS31111281045
    8Highlanders319166443
    9Platinum329167043
    10Chicken Inn31111010-143
    11Simba Bhora3191210039
    12Hunters3171410-1035
    13Kariba3261511-933
    14Bulawayo Chiefs3171014-1231
    15Agama317717-2128
    16Triangle United315917-1724
    17TelOne3141017-2322
    18Manica Diamonds314918-3021

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Dynamos win, at 55.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.