· Analysis updated 20:20 UTC
Eastbourne Borough vs Windsor Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.04 expected goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.14 for Windsor, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Eastbourne Borough the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eastbourne Borough win
58.2% probability
Expected goals
2.04 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eastbourne Borough home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Windsor away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eastbourne Borough to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 21% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.04 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.14 for Windsor, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 2–08.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 3–16.7%
Recent form
Eastbourne Borough
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Leatherhead · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-10-20T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Three Bridges · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Salisbury · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Welling United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Carshalton Athletic · 4-0 (W)
Windsor
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Holmesdale · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Southall · 0-2 (L)
- 2022-08-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Royal Wootton · 0-2 (L)
- 2022-08-06T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Royal Wootton · 1-1 (D)
- 2021-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tuffley Rovers · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Eastbourne Borough 3-0 Windsor (FA Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eastbourne Borough win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.