Ebro vs Beasain Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.45 expected goals for Ebro and 1.38 for Beasain, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives Ebro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws roughly 61% of the time.

Model pick

Ebro or Draw

64.2% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ebro win39%

Draw25%

Beasain win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%

Over 2.5 goals54%

Over 3.5 goals31%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

1–111.8%
1–08.6%
2–18.6%
0–18.2%
1–28.1%

Why the model likes this

Ebro home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Beasain away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ebro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 25% / 36% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.45 goals for Ebro and 1.38 for Beasain, a combined 2.83 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Ebro

2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Huesca II · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs UD Logroñés · 0-3 (L)
2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Utebo · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-18T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Eibar II · 2-1 (W)
2026-04-11T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Beasain · 1-0 (W)

Beasain

2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Touring · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Zaragoza II · 3-2 (W)
2026-04-26T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Náxara · 0-1 (L)
2026-04-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs UD Logroñés · 1-1 (D)
2026-04-11T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ebro · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.