· Analysis updated 13:48 UTC
EC Novo Horizonte vs Clube 1992 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for EC Novo Horizonte and 1.91 for Clube 1992, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Clube 1992 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Clube 1992 win
55.3% probability
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.91
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
EC Novo Horizonte home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Clube 1992 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 23% / 22% / 55% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for EC Novo Horizonte and 1.91 for Clube 1992, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 59% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–28.6%
- 1–36.3%
Recent form
EC Novo Horizonte
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Real · 0-9 (L)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Clube 1992 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs SC Rio Grande · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Panambi · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FBC Riograndense RS · 0-3 (L)
Clube 1992
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gaúcho - 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sport Club | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 20 |
| 2 | Panambi | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Futebol Com Vida | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
| 4 | São Paulo RS | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Cruz A. | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Farroupilha | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | FBC Riograndense RS | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 9 | EC Novo Horizonte | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -24 | 4 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Clube 1992 win, at 55.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.