Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Group 1 - 915:00
EchallensLLWLL

2 – 1

Saturday, 3 October 2026

MeyrinLDLLL

· Analysis updated 13:50 UTC

Echallens vs Meyrin Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Echallens and 1.73 for Meyrin, a combined total of 3.38. That distribution gives Meyrin the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

62.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Echallens home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Meyrin away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Meyrin to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 37% / 23% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.65 goals for Echallens and 1.73 for Meyrin, a combined 3.38 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Echallens win37%
Draw23%
Meyrin win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score66%

Correct score

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–15.9%

Recent form

Echallens

  • 2026-09-25T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lausanne Sport II · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Monthey · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Coffrane · 1-1 (D)

Meyrin

  • 2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Echallens · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs La Chaux-de-Fonds · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Azzurri Bienne119021627
2Prishtina Bern118212226
3Servette II11641322
4Lausanne Sport II11452717
5Naters11524-617
6Sion II11443116
7Portalban / Gletterens10424514
8Monthey10352214
9Chênois11425-114
10Lancy11416-213
11La Chaux-de-Fonds11416-1513
12Echallens11335-1012
13Meyrin11326211
14Stade Payerne11326-711
15Coffrane10145-47
16Vevey Sports10118-134

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 62.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.