Silver Jubilee Park · Analysis updated 16:53 UTC
Edgware Town vs Whitstable Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Edgware Town and 1.76 for Whitstable Town, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Whitstable Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Whitstable Town win
45.2% probability
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.76
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Edgware Town home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Whitstable Town away threat
Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Whitstable Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 32% / 23% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Edgware Town and 1.76 for Whitstable Town, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
55%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–17.2%
- 2–26.5%
Recent form
Edgware Town
- 2025-08-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitstable Town · 0-9 (L)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs British Airways · 2-0 (W)
- 2024-08-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs St Neots Town · 0-3 (L)
- 2024-08-06T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Crawley Green · 1-1 (D)
- 2024-08-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Crawley Green · 2-2 (D)
Whitstable Town
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Egham Town · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanworth Villa · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-28T18:45:00.000Z · A vs AFC Portchester · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-07-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Erith & Belvedere · 4-1 (W)
- 2025-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Wealdstone · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Whitstable Town win, at 45.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.