· Analysis updated 07:56 UTC
Eendracht Termien vs KRC Genk II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Eendracht Termien and 4.50 for KRC Genk II, a combined total of 5.88. That distribution gives KRC Genk II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 86%, with the draw at 8%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 89% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–4 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 86% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
KRC Genk II win
86.2% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eendracht Termien home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KRC Genk II away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KRC Genk II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 86%, against 6% / 8% / 86% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Eendracht Termien and 4.50 for KRC Genk II, a combined 5.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
14%
Double chance 12
92%
Double chance X2
94%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–46.6%
- 1–55.9%
- 1–35.9%
- 0–44.8%
- 2–44.5%
Recent form
Eendracht Termien
- 2026-10-24T17:30:00.000Z · A vs De Kempen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Wellen · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Rotselaar · 3-5 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Wilrijk · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Cappellen · 3-3 (D)
KRC Genk II
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Virton · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Hasselt · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-07-22T18:00:00.000Z · Eendracht Termien 2-3 KRC Genk II (Friendlies Clubs)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is KRC Genk II win, at 86.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
A 86% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.