· Analysis updated 16:47 UTC
Eendracht Termien vs Wellen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Eendracht Termien and 1.88 for Wellen, a combined total of 4.28. That distribution gives Eendracht Termien the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Eendracht Termien win
50.0% probability
Expected goals
2.40 – 1.88
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eendracht Termien home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Wellen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eendracht Termien to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 19% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.40 goals for Eendracht Termien and 1.88 for Wellen, a combined 4.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
50%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–16.3%
- 3–16.0%
- 1–25.9%
Recent form
Eendracht Termien
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sint-Truiden II · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tongeren · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Diegem Sport · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rupel Boom · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-07-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs KRC Genk II · 2-3 (L)
Wellen
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Nijlen · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Hades · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Wilrijk · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Rotselaar · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tempo Overijse | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Hades | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | De Kempen | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Wilrijk | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Royal Antwerp II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Diegem Sport | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Racing Mechelen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Eendracht Termien | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Wellen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Rotselaar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Rupel Boom | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Nijlen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Bocholt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Tongeren | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Sint-Truiden II | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Cappellen | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eendracht Termien win, at 50.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.