· Analysis updated 19:50 UTC
Egham Town vs Uxbridge Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Egham Town and 1.15 for Uxbridge, a combined total of 2.50. That distribution gives Egham Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.1% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.15
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Egham Town home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Egham Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 27% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Egham Town and 1.15 for Uxbridge, a combined 2.50 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
73%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.2%
Recent form
Egham Town
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Maldon & Tiptree · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Whitstable Town · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Chatham Town · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Westfield (Surrey) · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Chertsey Town · 1-4 (L)
Uxbridge
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AFC Hornchurch · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Evesham United · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Hungerford Town · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Basingstoke Town · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lewes · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.