· Analysis updated 15:46 UTC
Eidsvold vs Kongsvinger Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 4.50 expected goals for Eidsvold and 4.50 for Kongsvinger, a combined total of 9.00. That distribution gives Eidsvold the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 92% for over 2.5 goals and 90% for both teams to score, with 4–4 the single most likely scoreline at 4%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
57.3% probability
Expected goals
4.50 – 4.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eidsvold home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kongsvinger away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eidsvold to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 15% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 4.50 goals for Eidsvold and 4.50 for Kongsvinger, a combined 9.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 4–43.6%
- 4–53.2%
- 5–43.2%
- 3–43.2%
- 4–33.2%
Recent form
Eidsvold
- 2026-10-04T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Rana · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Trygg/Lade · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Follo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongsvinger · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Ull/Kisa · 3-1 (W)
Kongsvinger
- 2026-10-18T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandnes ULF · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Stromsgodset · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Ranheim · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-10-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Moss · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs hodd · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 57.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 4–4.
It puts both teams scoring at 90% and over 2.5 goals at 92%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.