Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN · Referee A. Ropponen · Analysis updated 08:50 UTC
EIF vs Klubi-04 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.39 expected goals for EIF and 1.55 for Klubi-04, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Klubi-04 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
65.9% probability
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.55
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
EIF home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Klubi-04 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
66%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.2%
- 2–17.9%
- 1–07.4%
Recent form
EIF
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Haka · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs JIPPO · 0-2 (L)
Klubi-04
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JIPPO · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · A vs SJK Akatemia · 6-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · EIF 0-7 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · EIF 2-0 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · EIF 2-1 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2026-03-14T12:00:00.000Z · EIF 2-1 Klubi-04 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2025-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · EIF 2-1 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2025-07-05T16:00:00.000Z · EIF 2-2 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2025-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · EIF 3-4 Klubi-04 (Ykkösliiga)
- 2025-04-12T13:30:00.000Z · EIF 0-1 Klubi-04 (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2021-08-21T15:00:00.000Z · EIF 3-5 Klubi-04 (Ykkönen)
- 2021-06-11T15:30:00.000Z · EIF 1-2 Klubi-04 (Ykkönen)
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 65.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.