Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN · Referee R. Rantakaulio · Analysis updated 15:14 UTC
EIF vs SJK Akatemia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.63 expected goals for EIF and 0.78 for SJK Akatemia, a combined total of 2.40. That distribution gives EIF the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 43% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
EIF win
57.6% probability
Expected goals
1.63 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
EIF home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
SJK Akatemia away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates EIF to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 25% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.63 goals for EIF and 0.78 for SJK Akatemia, a combined 2.40 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
42%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.7%
- 2–012.0%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–09.1%
Recent form
EIF
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-09T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Klubi-04 · 0-7 (L)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-18T15:30:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Haka · 2-2 (D)
SJK Akatemia
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 4-3 (W)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs KäPa · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is EIF win, at 57.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.