· Analysis updated 08:10 UTC
Eimsbütteler TV vs Blumenthaler SV Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.25 expected goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 1.75 for Blumenthaler SV, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Eimsbütteler TV the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Eimsbütteler TV win
66.9% probability
Expected goals
3.25 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Eimsbütteler TV home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Blumenthaler SV away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Eimsbütteler TV to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 67%, against 67% / 15% / 18% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.25 goals for Eimsbütteler TV and 1.75 for Blumenthaler SV, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
82%
Double chance 12
85%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–16.7%
- 2–16.2%
- 3–25.9%
- 4–15.5%
- 2–25.4%
Recent form
Eimsbütteler TV
- 2026-10-02T17:30:00.000Z · A vs VfB Lübeck · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Atlas Delmenhorst · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Werder Bremen II · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Phönix Lübeck · 1-3 (L)
Blumenthaler SV
- 2026-08-29T11:00:00.000Z · H vs BTS Neustadt · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Werder Bremen III · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Schwachhausen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-09T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Geestemünde · 7-1 (W)
- 2026-06-07T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eimsbütteler TV · 0-6 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Oberliga - Promotion Round table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eimsbütteler TV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | VfR Mannheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Todesfelde | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Eddersheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Blumenthaler | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 6 | Pirmasens | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 7 | Egestorf-Langreder | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Eimsbütteler TV win, at 66.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 87%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.