Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Süd · NOFV- Sud - 913:00

0 – 3

Sunday, 25 October 2026

· Analysis updated 00:24 UTC

Einheit Rudolstadt vs Empor Glauchau Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.33 for Empor Glauchau, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Einheit Rudolstadt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Einheit Rudolstadt home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Empor Glauchau away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Einheit Rudolstadt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 25% / 34% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.50 goals for Einheit Rudolstadt and 1.33 for Empor Glauchau, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Einheit Rudolstadt win41%
Draw25%
Empor Glauchau win34%

Double chance 1X

66%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–17.9%
  • 1–27.8%

Recent form

Einheit Rudolstadt

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Eilenburg · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Freital · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Dresden II · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Budissa Bautzen · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Plauen · 1-3 (L)

Empor Glauchau

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Budissa Bautzen · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Plauen · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T12:00:00.000Z · A vs VfL Halle · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-16T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Germania Halberstadt · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs ZFC Meuselwitz · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Nordost-Süd table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1ZFC Meuselwitz97201323
2Auerbach96211320
3Germania Halberstadt96121519
4VfL Halle9603418
5Eilenburg95131216
6Dresden II9351714
7Plauen9342413
8SC Freital9342213
9Weissenfels9405-212
10Union Sandersdorf9315210
11Empor Glauchau9234-29
12Budissa Bautzen9234-79
13Einheit Wernigerode9153-98
14Krieschow9225-128
15Einheit Rudolstadt9036-183
16FC Frankfurt9108-223

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.